RBI dividend will have economic dividends

RBI came into this windfall because of high interest rates in advanced economies, which may persist before an eventual cyclical inversion. The strength of India's recovery from the pandemic also contributed to the RBI surplus, and monetary policy would be inclined to pursue this course by easing interest rates ahead of the pack. Inflation is offering comfort on the demand side for an interest rate downcycle. Food inflation, less amenable to demand management, remains a concern.
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